Instrument
US30 / Dow Jones
Live Price
— · Weekend close · opens Sun 18:00 NY95
Conf
High Probability SetupWaiting for entry
Next session plan · 2026-08-10LIVE
Market closed for the weekend · opens in 4h 35m
STRONG BUY
Entry
54,036.93
Last close
Take Profit
54,672.25
Stop Loss
53,560.44
Risk : Reward1 : 1.33
Learning applied: confidence +12 from track record
Based on 15 closed trades. Strongest matching bucket: BUY signals → 80% win rate over 15 trades.
Technical + news agree on US30. AI news overlay unavailable — technical signal used as-is. Clean setup — technicals and macro line up. Track-record adjustment +12 on confidence based on 4 similar-setup bucket(s).
Macro Context
DXY (USD Index)
99.604
▼ 0.29%
↑ = headwind for equities
US 10Y Yield
0.466%
▼ 0.55%
↑ = equity headwind
WTI Crude Oil
78.18 $
▲ 3.18%
↑ = inflation risk
VIX (Volatility)
14.9
▼ 6.05%
>20 risk-off, >30 fear
Profit / Loss calculator
Position size$1,000
≈ 0.0185 units$0.02 / point
If TP hits
+$11.76
+11.8% of stake
If SL hits
-$8.82
-8.8% of stake
Risk : Reward1 : 1.33
Numbers assume a CFD-style contract with no fees/spread/overnight swap. Real broker results will differ.
Paper account
Simulated · no real moneyLoading your simulated account…
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Trade Audit — API inputs & how they shaped this call
7 inputs- ENTRYLive Quote (Yahoo)Anchored to last close (market shut)Entry uses prior daily close; will re-anchor when market reopens.
- SLOHLC / ATR(14)ATR 635.33Stop distance sized as a fraction of ATR; take-profit sized as a multiple of ATR (wider ATR = wider SL & TP).
- TPSwing S/R (OHLC pivots)S 52,069.87 · R —TP snapped just inside the nearest S/R when it landed within a sensible ATR band, so the target sits at a real level.
- CONFMacro Quotes (Yahoo)DXY 99.60 (-0.29%) · 10Y 0.47% (-0.55%) · WTI 78.18 (+3.18%) · VIX 14.90VIX in normal band — no confidence penalty from volatility. DXY/yields/oil feed the AI directional read.
- CONFFRED (official prints)10Y 4.69% · CPI YoY 3.70% · Unemp 4.1% · USD idx 119.70Fed dataset context used by the AI reasoning layer for regime read (inflation, growth, rates).
- CONFNews + AI Synthesis (Gemini)Sentiment: neutralAI agreed with the rule-based direction; full confidence retained.
- CONFTrack Record (self-learning)4 similar bucket(s), n=15Confidence +12 based on historical win-rate of similar setups.
Technical Read
RSI 63.7- Close
- 54,036.93
- EMA 20
- 52,866.93
- EMA 50
- 51,995.82
- MACD
- 176.06
- ATR (14)
- 635.33
- Trend
- up
- Support
- 52,069.87 (-3.64%)
Top 3 checks that drove the BUY
- 1Trend▲ bullishEMA20 above EMA50 (uptrend)1.68% separation · trend: up
- 2Momentum▲ bullishRSI 63.7 (neutral)MACD hist 176.06
- 3Volatility• neutralVIX 14.9-6.05%
Loading track record…
US30 Learning & Events
Last session recap
No recap written yet.
Upcoming economic events
No scheduled events in the next 48h.
Learned playbook
Not enough closed trades yet — rules are distilled weekly.
Backtester (daily)
Replays the technical daily-signal logic (base rules + 0.75×/1.0× ATR SL/TP) over the last N months of US30 history. AI overlay is skipped so results are deterministic.
US30 Pattern & History
All-time high
54,744.33
-1.29% away · 2026-08-05
Max drawdown
-53.78%
worst peak-to-trough
All-time CAGR
8.22%
annualized
Regime
Golden cross (bullish regime)
SMA50 52,056.65 · SMA200 49,241.26
Long-horizon returns
1M
+2.95%
3M
+8.95%
6M
+10.49%
1Y
+22.27%
5Y
+54.68%
10Y
+192.78%
Volatility (20d realized)
14.2%
62.9th percentile · normal range
Avg daily range (1y)
1.06%
Distance from SMA50: 3.8% · SMA200: 9.74%
Current streak
1 up day
Only 49.9% of historical streaks reach this length — still in normal range
Seasonality
Aug historical avg: +0.06%
Sun avg daily: 0%
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How This Was Decided
Rules that fired
- EMA20 above EMA50 → uptrend (+2)
- MACD histogram positive → bullish momentum (+1)
- RSI 63.7 bullish bias (+1)
AI news overlay
AI news overlay unavailable — technical signal used as-is.
Sentiment: neutral
Track Record — Last 30 Signals
| Date | Action | Entry | Stop | Target | Conf | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | BUY | 54,036.93 | 53,560.44 | 54,672.25 | 95 | pending |
| 2026-08-09 | BUY | 54,036.93 | 53,560.44 | 54,672.25 | 95 | pending |
| 2026-08-07 | BUY | 53,885.10 | 53,388.49 | 54,547.24 | 95 | pending |
| 2026-08-06 | BUY | 53,885.10 | 53,388.49 | 54,547.24 | 95 | pending |
| 2026-08-05 | BUY | 54,349.12 | 53,852.84 | 55,010.82 | 95 | hit stop |
| 2026-08-04 | BUY | 54,120.84 | 53,631.99 | 54,772.63 | 95 | pending |
| 2026-08-03 | BUY | 53,105.27 | 51,944.21 | 53,733.57 | 71 | hit target |
| 2026-08-02 | BUY | 52,485.03 | 51,945.92 | 53,104.79 | 59 | hit target |
| 2026-08-01 | BUY | 52,485.03 | 51,945.92 | 53,104.79 | 59 | hit target |
| 2026-07-31 | BUY | 52,485.68 | 51,945.92 | 53,105.43 | 59 | hit target |
| 2026-07-30 | BUY | 51,878.20 | 51,420.39 | 52,220.36 | 47 | hit target |
| 2026-07-29 | BUY | 51,594.14 | 51,419.03 | 52,209.27 | 39 | hit target |
| 2026-07-28 | BUY | 52,609.90 | 51,954.54 | 53,186.55 | 51 | hit stop |
| 2026-07-27 | BUY | 52,185.19 | 51,952.60 | 52,771.52 | 39 | hit target |
| 2026-07-26 | BUY | 51,711.65 | 51,189.27 | 52,224.94 | 47 | hit target |
| 2026-07-25 | BUY | 51,947.25 | 51,191.08 | 52,225.85 | 47 | hit target |
| 2026-07-24 | BUY | 51,711.65 | 51,189.27 | 52,224.94 | 47 | hit target |
| 2026-07-23 | BUY | 51,698.50 | 51,189.27 | 52,224.94 | 47 | hit target |
| 2026-07-22 | BUY | 52,218.58 | 51,959.12 | 52,495.44 | 39 | hit stop |
| 2026-07-21 | BUY | 52,224.64 | 51,371.97 | 53,645.76 | 39 | hit target |